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What Does the November Jobs Report Mean for the Federal Reserve?

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting on September 20, 2023 at the Federal Reserve in Washington, DC.

Whittle Somodevilla/Getty Images

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news meeting after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting on September 20, 2023 at the Federal Reserve in Washington, DC.

Friday’s headaches report bolstered traders’ belief that the Federal Reserve will cut its influential interest rate again in December.

In November, companies added 227,000 jobs to the economy, and the unemployment rate rose to be in line with expectations.

In the wake of the report, merchants were pricing in an 87% chance that the Fed will make a quarter-point cut in their meeting on Dec. 17-18, be at one to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data. That’s up from 71% on Thursday and 66% up to date week.

“It was already widely expected that the Federal Open Market Committee would move forward with another 25-basis core rate cut in December, and the latest employment report is unlikely to change that,” wrote Moody’s Analytics’ Economist Dante DeAntonio.

Saleswomen have been especially sensitive to jobs data as Federal Reserve officials work to balance their strive with against inflation with the mandate to keep unemployment low. Concerns about a weakening job market spurred the Fed to cut its influential fed means rate for the first time since 2020 in September.

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