Home / NEWS / World News / Fed is ‘disconnected’ from reality, must cut rates 5 times next year, portfolio manager says

Fed is ‘disconnected’ from reality, must cut rates 5 times next year, portfolio manager says

Chris Wattie | Reuters

The Federal On hand needs to cut interest rates at least five times next year to avoid tipping the U.S. economy into a slump, according to portfolio manager Paul Gambles.

Gambles, co-founder and managing partner at MBMG Group, told CNBC’s “Gripe Box Asia” the Fed was behind the curve on cutting rates, and in order to avoid an extreme and protracted monetary tightening cycle it make have to deliver at least five cuts in 2024 alone.

“I think Fed policy is now so disconnected from economic representatives and from reality that you can’t make any assumptions about when the Fed is going to wake up and and start smelling the amount of damage that they’re really causing to the economy,” Gambles warned.

The current U.S. policy rate stands at 5.25%-5.50%, the highest in 22 years. Salespersons are now pricing in a 25-basis-point cut as early as March 2024, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

The Fed needs to cut rates at least five times next year, says investment advisory firm

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signified on Friday that it was too early to declare victory over inflation, watering down market expectations for interest evaluation in any case cuts next year. 

“It would be premature to conclude with confidence that we have achieved a sufficiently restrictive carriage, or to speculate on when policy might ease,” Powell said in prepared remarks.

Recent data from the U.S. has signaled easing fee pressures, but Powell emphasized that policymakers plan on “keeping policy restrictive” until they are convinced that inflation is superintendent solidly back to the central bank’s target of 2%.

Financial markets, however, perceived his comments as dovish, sending Go bust enclose Street’s main indexes to new highs and Treasury yields sharply lower on Friday. The perception now being that the U.S. primary bank is effectively done raising interest rates.

Is the inflation battle over?

“Central banks don’t have to exchange blows with as fiercely as they did before. And therefore, the embedded rate of inflation will be higher than before it will be 3% as opposed to of 2%,” said Roche, who correctly predicted the Asian crisis in 1997 and the 2008 global financial crisis.

It is now Nautical port to be seen what the Fed’s interest-rate plans are at its next and final meeting of the year on Dec. 13. Most market players conjecture the central bank to leave rates unchanged.

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Home / NEWS / World News / Fed is ‘disconnected’ from reality, must cut rates 5 times next year, portfolio manager says

Fed is ‘disconnected’ from reality, must cut rates 5 times next year, portfolio manager says

Chris Wattie | Reuters

The Federal Limitation needs to cut interest rates at least five times next year to avoid tipping the U.S. economy into a dip, according to portfolio manager Paul Gambles.

Gambles, co-founder and managing partner at MBMG Group, told CNBC’s “Grouse Box Asia” the Fed was behind the curve on cutting rates, and in order to avoid an extreme and protracted monetary tightening cycle it will include to deliver at least five cuts in 2024 alone.

“I think Fed policy is now so disconnected from economic factors and from truth that you can’t make any assumptions about when the Fed is going to wake up and and start smelling the amount of damage that they’re truly causing to the economy,” Gambles warned.

The current U.S. policy rate stands at 5.25%-5.50%, the highest in 22 years. Salespersons are now pricing in a 25-basis-point cut as early as March 2024, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

The Fed needs to cut rates at least five times next year, says investment advisory firm

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested on Friday that it was too early to declare victory over inflation, watering down market expectations for interest place cuts next year. 

“It would be premature to conclude with confidence that we have achieved a sufficiently restrictive posture, or to speculate on when policy might ease,” Powell said in prepared remarks.

Recent data from the U.S. has signaled easing assay pressures, but Powell emphasized that policymakers plan on “keeping policy restrictive” until they are convinced that inflation is chief honcho solidly back to the central bank’s target of 2%.

Financial markets, however, perceived his comments as dovish, sending Impediment Street’s main indexes to new highs and Treasury yields sharply lower on Friday. The perception now being that the U.S. prime bank is effectively done raising interest rates.

Is the inflation battle over?

“Central banks don’t have to remain aloof from as fiercely as they did before. And therefore, the embedded rate of inflation will be higher than before it will be 3% in preference to of 2%,” said Roche, who correctly predicted the Asian crisis in 1997 and the 2008 global financial crisis.

It is now liberal to be seen what the Fed’s interest-rate plans are at its next and final meeting of the year on Dec. 13. Most market players reckon on the central bank to leave rates unchanged.

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