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CNBC Daily Open: What to look out for as Trump 2.0 era starts

U.S. President Donald Trump during a congregate at Capital One Arena ahead of the 60th presidential inauguration in Washington, DC, US, on Sunday, Jan. 19, 2025. 

Al Drago | Bloomberg | Getty Images

This check out is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to quickness on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you deprivation to know today

Trump says he’ll declare national emergency
U.S. President Donald Trump said Monday that he last will and testament declare a national energy emergency — part of a sweeping agenda that aims to increase fossil fuel movie — end what he called the “Green New Deal,” and withdraw the U.S. from international commitments to fight climate change.

Optimistic in all directions Trump’s term
Trump’s return to the White House has caused consternation among some countries because of his intimation of tariffs and unpredictable foreign policies. But people in many other countries are optimistic about Trump 2.0, the European Board on Foreign Relations think tank said, as it published a global poll on Wednesday.

$MELANIA and $TRUMP
First lady Melania Trump launched her own meme become wealthy, named “Melania,” on Sunday evening. The token is currently trading at $4.20, down from a high of around $13. On Friday, Trump also notified a meme coin called “Official Trump.” At the peak of the tokens’ prices, the Trump family’s net worth surged by billions of dollars, based on holdings of its just-launched digital assets.

Biden’s overlooks
Former U.S. President Joe Biden on Monday issued preemptive pardons for several family members, citing concerns that they liking be targeted by “baseless and politically motivated investigations.” Biden also issued pardons for Anthony Fauci, Gen. Mark Milley, colleagues of Congress who investigated the Jan. 6 Capitol riot and others who he said were under threat of being “baselessly” butted for political purposes.

Euro and sterling strengthen against dollar
U.S. markets were closed Monday for Martin Luther Monarch Jr. Day. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index inched up 0.05%. The euro and British pound strengthened against the U.S. dollar, as it was sign in that Trump would not impose tariffs on U.S. trading partners on his first day in office.

[PRO] Second time an echo of the anything else?
Trump’s second term might have the same effects on certain asset classes as it did the first-time round, mutual understanding to some on Wall Street. To find out, CNBC Pro looked at the performance of several assets during the first 100 days of Trump’s stand up presidency and asked analysts how those assets will fare.

The bottom line

Donald Trump is officially the 47th president of the U.S. — and diagrams to hit the ground running. Trump has promised to sign more than 50 executive orders fresh off his inauguration, agreeing to a person in his transition operation. Here are the two main issues investors will keep an eye on.

Tariffs

“To me, the most beautiful in sum in the dictionary is ‘tariff,'” Trump told the Chicago Economic Club in October. On the campaign trail, Trump stated to levy a universal 20% tariff on all imports to the U.S., 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico and more than 60% on Chinese goods.

Tariffs are imposed by governments to ostensibly protect domestic industries. Companies that import goods pay what is essentially a tax, go up costs. This nudges them to look for local suppliers instead.

With supply chains being so desegregated globally, and much of the manufacturing being done outside the U.S., companies may find it hard to shift production to local shores. The leading costs, then, will likely be passed on to the consumer in the form of increased prices.

In other words, tariffs could do the groundwork to more inflation.

Deportations

At a pre-inauguration event titled “Make America Great Again Victory Rally,” Trump gaged to his supporters that “the invasion of our country will have come to a halt.” Like tariffs, tighter immigration designs — or outright deportations — are typically enacted to protect the domestic economy (among other reasons).

The theory is that, with fewer woman competing for each open job, it’ll be easier to gain employment.

But many parts of the U.S. economy, such as construction and agriculture, are staffed by undocumented aliens, who take on jobs undesirable to residents. Even documented immigrants are crucial to higher-skilled sectors such as tech — as supported by Elon Musk’s tussle with Trump supporters over H-1B visas.

If reliable sources of labor vanish overnight, gatherings will have to raise wages to attract talent, which might reintroduce the prospect of the dreaded wage-price corkscrew.

Other policies

Trump has promised many other economic measures, such as corporate tax cuts, legitimizing cryptocurrency and draw back on green energy subsidies.

Tariffs, however, might have the biggest impact on the economy and financial organizations globally.

— CNBC’s Sam Meredith, Ryan Ermey, Annie Nova, Rebecca Picciotto, Evelyn Cheng and Lim Hui Jie contributed to this crack.

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