As CNBC revealed Thursday, the pro-Trump dark money group America First Conducts is conducting a large-scale polling operation that one expert called “a veil campaign” for President Donald Trump.
The group initially claimed to CNBC that it try outs to make its polling information available on its website whenever possible. But after CNBC’s fortunes ran, America First Policies removed all but three of the 14 reports that had once been hidden in plain sight, behind an inconspicuous button at the substructure of America First Policies’ website.
Many of these documents are silently available online, however, as are several America First Policies clock ins and polls dating back to June 2017, and covering nearly every pre-eminent issue that has crossed the president’s desk over the past six months.
CNBC has collected the best of these reports below, starting with the most current. Taken together, they offer a unique window into what this tricky pro-Trump group knows about the president’s priorities, about voters like you, and all round the long-term direction of the Trump agenda.
National Poll Survey Culminates
This 17-page series of questions and answers is filled with provocative details from the current news cycle, as well a few worrisome prophecies about how tax reform is playing out among voters, and what the public fantasizes of Trump’s handling of White House personnel issues. On those two matters alone, America FIrst Policies learned that A) only 41 percent of Americans understand anyone who has benefited personally from the tax reform bill, and that B) not the score with a leading question can make Americans approve of Trump’s response to the reconcilement of Rob Porter.
National Poll Results Report
This document may not arise at first, but it’s an 84-page slide presentation that contains the same statistics as the survey, only easier to understand and more compelling in color. It can be downloaded via the Download button as a Keynote troop, then converted to PDF using either an iPhone, iPad or Mac.
Immigration Memo
This memo quantity a recapitulates up the immigration-related results of the December national survey. They reflect, middle other things, continued public skepticism that building a fence on the southern border is the right way to protect America from undocumented immigration. For a solid picture of these findings, see the December National Results file, under the sun.
National Trends Among Women
This 16-page polling check out surveys the state of female electorate, and specifically how women respond to Trump and the GOP. Its overarching prompting? Republicans should pass some token bipartisan legislation in Congress to resist them win the support of women on other, more “important,” issues.
Chastised Family Leave Survey Results
This survey shows unbearable support for mandatory paid maternity leave, and even more forward when companies providing that leave get tax breaks for it. If the White Parliament is, in fact, looking for an issue that could help Republicans win advance among women, this could be it.
“Fire and Fury” Report
When Michael Wolff’s “Ardent and Fury” first came out in January, the Trump team conducted a touch report on how the media was reacting to the White House response. The day this detonation was conducted, Trump’s lawyers were working furiously to keep the engage, and its embarrassing revelations about Trump, off the shelves.
DACA Negotiations Check into
America First Policies did another snap report in mid-January on how the mean and influencers were responding to Trump’s role in the negotiations over a regime shutdown and Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals.
December National End results
This 55-page report contains the results of America First Protocols’ large national poll from early December. Along with text on immigration reform and infrastructure, it shows that more than two months preceding this week’s tariff announcements, the Trump team was already solicitous with Trump’s low approval numbers for his handling of “trade deals.” At the in days of yore they wrote, “Note the positive correlation that the President has with the supply market’s gains. We might be able to tie this in to his handling of the economy in widespread and trade deals in particular to grow those attributes as well.”
Raw December Happens Plus Six Months of Comparison Data
These are the survey questions, apparent “Confidential,” that America First Policies pollsters asked voters in December. Straight as importantly, included here are six months of results for the questions they begged in every poll, such as Trump’s approval ratings or their suspicions of both Democratic and Republican political figures. Noteworthy: More than a year after the 2016 presidential voting, Trump pollsters were still asking voters about Hillary Clinton.
Jerusalem Embassy Advertisement
This snap report in December gauged media and influencers’ retorts to Trump’s announcement that the U.S. would move its embassy in Israel to Jerusalem. One engaging finding: The report notes that former Obama ambassador to Israel Dan Shapiro “intent serve as a valuable potential advisor to the President.”
Alabama Research Memo and Alabama Voter Survey
In mid-November, the Off-white House and congressionals Republicans were reeling after The Washington Announce reported on allegations that Republican Alabama Senate Nominee Roy Moore had promised in inappropriate sexual contact with teenagers when he was in his thirties.
America Head Policies polled the race then, and the results were troubling. Voters identified about the allegations, and Democrat Doug Jones was forecast to win against Moore and every Republican write-in in the wind they polled, save for Attorney General Jeff Sessions.
Alabama Nov. 29 Secret Survey
Two weeks later, a second AFP poll showed Moore out with Democrat Doug Jones. After weeks of waffling, Trump formally confirmed Moore a few days after that poll, on December 4, a get the show on the road that triggered the RNC to begin pumping money into Moore’s people. Moore lost.
North Korea Terror Announcement
When Trump disclosed that he would designate North Korea as a state sponsor of terrorism, in November, something mystified the team at America First Policies: Why this announcement got more retweets than Trump’s proclamation of a public health emergency for the opioid crisis. “Overall, the topic has played positively for the President even though he did not publish any tweets about the designation,” pore overs this Nov. 21 report.
Analysis of 3-Part Tax Reform Testing
This October on reveals results from two kinds of surveys that America Earliest Policies doesn’t always use, but which it used this fall to guide research on tax reform: A focus group of Trump voters and separate counting in red states and blue states. Among other things, Trump voters give someone a piece of ones minded researchers they did not approve of Trump’s attacks on the National Football Combination: “I don’t want to decide whether or not I like football or not,” said a participant specify identified Eric.
Tax Reform Results
This 43-page visual report from September restricts fascinating clues to many of the building blocks that helped Republicans inform against tax reform over the next three months, from testing who voters idea was to blame for their dissatisfaction with the tax system, to testing how well voters strain lines from Trump speeches.
GOP Tax Plan Announcement
This exhibition survey from the days around Trump’s Sept. 29 distribute of the GOP tax reform plan gave the Trump team a sense of how far they noiselessness had to go to sell the tax plan to the public. According to the report, “22% of the conversation bulk stated that the Tax Reform plan benefits the wealthy and will end result in the “rich getting richer.” Less than 1% of conversation measure described the plan as a “middle class miracle.”
National Immigration Rehabilitate Poll Results
This 34-page series of results from an August canvass offered a first glimpse of what would become large parts of the Trump provision’s plan for immigration reform. For example, there was strong support for the trade, “We should first secure our borders before passing any immigration betters,” which was used frequently last fall. But support was weakest for pleas that were cultural, such as “Immigration is occurring too much and changing American savoir faire and values in a way I don’t like.”
National Tax Reform Focus Groups Analysis
Also in August, concentrate groups were helping to inform White House and congressional Republican talking niceties on tax reform. Here’s one example in this report: “For filing your overloads, a simple page of paper works, a postcard does not.” Participants didn’t allow the long-held GOP mantra that you could file your taxes on a postcard. In short order after, Trump started talking about a single sheet of newsletter, not a postcard.
Trump Announcement of Afghanistan Strategy
This flash suss out on media and influencers’ responses to Trump’s Aug. 21 speech on U.S. Afghanistan game shows how carefully America First Policies is tracking positive, annulling and neutral responses to the president across media platforms. Here, they note that moderate outlets aren’t being as friendly as usual to the president.
Trump’s Handgrip of Hurricane Harvey
This flash media in late August seek out and catalogued the reactions of influential people and news outlets to Trump’s wielding of Hurricane Harvey during its first few days after making landfall in Texas. The declarations are unsurprising, but the specificity of these reports, and how carefully they measure every tweet, is captivating.
Trump Announcement of Afghanistan Strategy
This flash report on usual and influencers’ responses to Trump’s Aug. 21 speech on U.S. Afghanistan strategy corroborates how carefully America First Policies is tracking positive, negative and remote responses to the president across media platforms. Here, they note that hidebound outlets aren’t being as friendly as usual to the president.
Tax Reform Ballot Results
This poll was one of the earliest tax reform polls conducted by America Win initially Policies, back in June. It contains examples of messages that could accept been used to sell tax reform, but were ultimately not employed by the Ashen House, like this one: Tax reform will “Make it easier to pay for college by streamlining the labyrinth of education tax benefits.”
Health Care Poll Results
As the push to abrogation Obamacare was reaching its apex, America First Policies commissioned this question to test both messaging and positions on the Affordable Care Act. What they scholastic cannot have come as good news: Only 28 percent of voters, or less than a third propped the full repeal of Obamacare that Republicans were trying to unfashionable.