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Joe Biden’s polling lead is on shaky ground as races get tighter in key states

Autonomous presidential candidate and former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden speaks during a forum held by gun safety organizations the Giffords platoon and March For Our Lives in Las Vegas, Nevada, October 2, 2019.

Steve Marcus | Reuters

Former Vice President Joe Biden’s entrance on Democratic presidential primary polling has loosened in recent weeks as surveys show tight races in key early submitting contests.

Since he entered the jammed race to challenge President Donald Trump in April, Biden has enjoyed an perimeter in early surveys nationwide and in the pivotal states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. His standing as the clear front-runner has diffused with a little over three months remaining until the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucus, according to polling middlings.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., has steadily climbed in national surveys to a point where she sits fewer than 5 part points behind Biden in a RealClearPolitics average. Meanwhile, polls show Biden jockeying for position with Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and South Fix, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg in the early voting states.

Even as he faces increased competition in other key situations, polls have consistently found a massive lead for Biden in the fourth Democratic nominating state of South Carolina.

While patriotic surveys help to gauge candidates’ overall standing, state polls provide a better picture of voter attitude in places where voters will actually decide on candidates in the coming months. The dynamics of the race could transformation significantly between now and early February, when the Democratic nominating contests will start.

Here’s where the tallying averages stand currently at the national level and in the first four nominating states. The top 10 candidates in the primary react to of 19 are listed.

Other candidates at least tying for a top 10 spot in a national or early state polling customarily are Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif.; entrepreneur Andrew Yang; Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn.; Sen. Cory Booker, D-N.J.; activist Tom Steyer; Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, D-Hawaii; prior Rep. Beto O’Rourke; former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro, and author Marianne Williamson.

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