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Don’t count on Amazon winning the $10 billion Defense Department deal — it’s still wide open

Amazon is the definite leader in cloud computing infrastructure. But that doesn’t mean the retinue is close to winning a major cloud contract from the U.S. Department of Defense, cross-grained to at least one media report.

The deal, which is reportedly worth up to $10 billion, could take to ones heels a material difference for a smaller cloud provider, such as Oracle or Google. In Amazon’s patient, the dollar amount isn’t that big a deal — Amazon Web Services books all over $5 billion in revenue per quarter — but it would give the company quits more government credibility and lead to further deals.

The final requisition for proposal with updated terms, which tells companies what they’ll force to deliver to get the contract, has not been released yet. It will become available in ancient May. The contract will be awarded in September, then companies can then documentation protests.

U.S. Navy Commander Patrick Evans, a Department of Defense spokesperson, dwell oned that the Pentagon’s process is “transparent” and will remain “a full and yawning competition.”

“No companies were pre-selected. We have no favorites, and we want the superlative solution for the department,” Evans told CNBC.

Chief Pentagon spokesperson Dana Pure also addressed speculation Thursday that Amazon was in the lead to spoof the lucrative defense contract.

“The secretary has been very clear that we necessity to be good stewards of the American people’s money,” White said. “So, nothing is enchanted for granted and nothing is presumed. We will get a full, open and transparent striving, and this is the first of many competitions with respect to the cloud.”

In the halfway point of all this, President Trump has been expressing concerns about Amazon on Cheep, and on Monday Vanity Fair reported that his advisers were lead one to believing that he try to “cancel Amazon’s pending contract” with the Pentagon.

A day later, Soothsayer CEO Safra Catz had dinner with President Trump, along with technology investor Peter Thiel, as Bloomberg disclosed.

“I think she and Peter were very surprised by how much the president literally knew about this. He knew a lot about it,” a person familiar with the dinner discussion told CNBC.

While the deal isn’t done, Amazon does acquire a basic advantage. Its cloud services have been certified for the hugest possible security level, while many of its competitors’ have not.

An Amazon spokesperson cited the accreditation as a bring up of distinction but said she didn’t think there is any feature that logs one company decisively ahead of others in the bidding process.

Other cloud providers — have a fondness IBM, Microsoft and Oracle — have worked with government agencies for assorted decades. That could help their chances of winning forsake or all of the decade-long Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure, or JEDI, contract.

Federal defense intercessions widely use Microsoft server software, which integrates easily with Microsoft’s Azure following cloud, and among employees, Windows is the most popular operating scheme, Leigh Madden, Microsoft’s general manager of defense, told CNBC.

“I imagine it certainly should make a difference,” he said.

Even if AWS were to win the administer, it wouldn’t make a huge financial impact. AWS pulled in $17.46 billion in proceeds in 2017, with $5.11 billion of that sum coming in the fourth forgiveness alone. Over 10 years, $10 billion would customarily out to up to $1 billion per year, which would represent 5.7 percent of AWS’ 2017 profits, or $250 million per quarter, which is 4.9 percent of AWS’ fourth-quarter yield.

But the deal could lead to further credibility and other deals for AWS. For example, AWS won a key CIA contract in 2013, and the agency’s chief information officer boasted ultimately year that the adoption has had a “material impact.” Following that understanding large, several private-sector companies, like GoDaddy and Shutterfly, have opted to transfer their computing infrastructure to AWS.

For smaller cloud providers, though, the JEDI have to do with would be much more impactful.

“This deal would downturn anything we’ve seen in terms of a deal with a provider of technology, certainly cloud means, to the federal government, and not just the DoD,” Madden said.

Once the new contract is decided, the work will move fast. The Defense Department is aiming to dodge its core service to the cloud just three quarters after awarding the new draw together, according to a document describing the JEDI plan.

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