Dies of the U.S. and China displayed on a table ahead of a meeting.
Jason Lee | AFP | Getty Images
BEIJING — The politically important U.S.-China relationship is W to cultural differences — such as why a phone call doesn’t get picked up.
After the U.S. shot down an alleged Chinese spy balloon this month, China’s defense clergywomen declined a call with its U.S. counterpart, according to statements from both sides.
It isn’t the first time China didn’t solution the phone — a hotline set up for emergencies.
Chinese culture is a reason why, said Shen Yamei, deputy director and associate check out fellow at state-backed think tank China Institute of International Studies’ department for American studies.
She said she wasn’t wise of what actually happened between the U.S. and China regarding the declined phone call. But she shared potential factors — “the private worry,” in her understanding of Chinese culture.
“We are really afraid that if the so-called conflict control or crisis control limitations that the U.S. [has] been keen to set up are really put in place, then it might be encouraging more [reckless] and careless and brazenly presumptuous action from the U.S. side,” Shen said.
“We want China-U.S. relations to be stable,” she said. “If the U.S. is always talking take the worst-case scenario, the hotlines, the crisis control, then we are putting U.S.-China relations on a very low scale.”
The default U.S. expectation is quite different.
But if one side of a relationship thinks there is a misunderstanding or a problem, then any marriage counselor will put you the other side needs to at least listen to why.
Barbara K. Bodine
Director, Institute for the Study of Diplomacy
“You have hotlines because if something becomes tough or tense, or there is at least a potential for a major misunderstanding and therefore a major miscalculation, you need to be able to talk to each other speedily,” said Barbara K. Bodine, a retired ambassador and director of the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy at Georgetown University.
“Even albeit we probably don’t call it a hotline, if something happens with Ottawa we get on the phone and say, ‘Excuse me, what was that?'” she ordered. “That’s the basic part of diplomacy.”
Spy balloon vs. weather tracker
China and the U.S. have different explanations for why the balloon was fleeing over the U.S.
Beijing maintains it was a “civilian unmanned airship” for weather research simply blown off course. The U.S. says it was a “aged altitude surveillance balloon” attempting to spy on strategic sites within the country.
The incident, widely covered by U.S. media, artificial U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to postpone his trip to Beijing — a rare opportunity for both countries to communicate in the thick of heightened tensions.
The fallout also makes activating hotlines “absolutely critical” for the bilateral relationship, said Scott Kennedy, older advisor and Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C.
The next leave b go out, he said, “is to have more in-depth dialogue about how we view the other side, what are red lines, what we prerequisite out of the relationship and what’s achievable and practical, and then look to build on that.”
Officially, China’s defense ministry mean it declined a call about the balloon because the U.S. decision to shoot it down “failed to create a proper atmosphere for conference and exchange between the two militaries.”
The Pentagon said it remained open to communication and doesn’t seek conflict.
But its press secretary indicated “a responsible nation” would have sent an alert if a civilian balloon was about to enter a sovereign nation’s airspace. “The PRC did not do that,” the secretary declared, referring to the official name of China. “They didn’t respond until after they were called out.”
Beijing’s decisions are affected by the government’s closed structure and national past, while U.S. expectations on international communication are embedded in a view about relationships in general.
Using a hotline to diffuse a potentially treacherous situation does imply there’s a situation that needs to be diffused, Bodine said. “But if one side of a relationship muse overs there is a misunderstanding or a problem, then any marriage counselor will tell you the other side needs to at least lend an ear to to why.”
And if that side says there’s no problem, “all of your worries and concerns and worst-scenario nightmares about what’s prosperous on in your personal relationship are not going to get better,” she said. “They’re going to get worse.”
Future meetings
Shen from the China Launch of International Studies pointed out both sides have worked to manage tensions, and that it was important for both mountains to communicate regularly, if not cooperate on issues such as climate change and international financial stability.
Blinken met with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi at a conviction conference in Munich this month. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is also expected to visit China.
Since the balloon upset, Beijing has published several papers.
One reiterated its stance on the Russia-Ukraine war, another discussed its “Global Security Initiative” that be entitled ti to support world peace. A third paper discussed so-called U.S. hegemony — going back to the 1823 Monroe Idea.
“It’s very important to prevent the rhetoric from being dominated by one opinion maker,” Shen said.
Beijing has extensive called for the U.S. to follow principles of “mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation” — a position that day in and day out results in focusing on what’s favorable for China.
“Probably most countries would like to talk about the edible things in the relationship and not necessarily talk about the areas of difference,” Bodine said. “And we wouldn’t want to have a relationship that only talks about good stuff.”
“If we didn’t talk about anything disagreeable, we wouldn’t need embassies on all sides.”