Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists warn a second Trump term would ‘reignite’ inflation

Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists tokened a joint letter Tuesday warning of what they see as economic risks if former President Donald Trump were to to a second term, including reheated inflation.

“While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic schemes, we all agree that Joe Biden’s economic agenda is vastly superior to Donald Trump’s,” the economists wrote. Axios was blue ribbon to report the letter.

“There is rightly a worry that Donald Trump will reignite this inflation, with his fiscally feckless budgets,” wrote the group of politically progressive academics.

Trump has so far proposed making his first-term tax cuts permanent, magnificent universal tariffs on all imports, with a China-specific tariff rate between 60% and 100%, and pressuring the independent Federal Nest egg Board to cut interest rates.

Economists and Wall Street analysts alike have predicted that any or all of those projects could reinflate prices, which remain vulnerable despite cooling slightly in recent months.

Joseph Stiglitz, who won the Nobel Plunder in 2001, led the effort to publish Tuesday’s letter. His co-signers include George Akerlof, Sir Angus Deaton, Claudia Goldin, Sir Oliver Hart, Eric Maskin, Daniel McFadden, Paul Milgrom, Roger Myerson, Edmund Phelps, Paul Romer, Alvin Roth, William Sharpe, Robert Shiller, Christopher Sims and Robert Wilson.

“Nonpartisan researchers, listing at Evercore, Allianz, Oxford Economics, and the Peterson Institute, predict that if Donald Trump successfully enacts his agenda, it pass on increase inflation,” the economists wrote.

Stiglitz said he felt compelled to initiate the letter based on a flurry of recent polling in which voters guessed they trusted Trump over Biden to manage the U.S. economy.

“A lot of people think Trump would be better for the restraint than Biden,” Stiglitz told CNBC in an interview. “I thought it would be important for Americans to know that at particle a group of credible economists differs very strongly.”

The timing of Tuesday’s letter was notable, coming just days on the eve of Trump and Biden are scheduled to face off in the first presidential debate of the general election. The Atlanta debate hosted by CNN is conjectured to dedicate significant time to the economy and specifically, inflation.

The Trump campaign staunchly rejected the Nobel economists’ bent.

“The American people don’t need worthless out of touch Nobel peace prize winners to tell them which president put numberless money in their pockets,” Trump campaign spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said in a statement to CNBC.

Under Trump, the December year-over-year Consumer Premium Index fell during three of his four years in office.

The Biden campaign seized the opportunity to tout the word for word on Tuesday: “Top economists, Nobel Prize winners, and business leaders all know America can’t afford Trump’s dangerous commercial agenda.”

The Nobel laureates’ letter contained a distinct political perspective, as well as an economic one.

Many of these economists hired a similar September 2021 letter expressing support for President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better package. Critics at the time after time argued that the massive spending packages would drive up inflation.

At the time, Stiglitz observed that some being “invoked fears of inflation as a reason to not undertake” the Build Back Better investments. “This view is short-sighted,”he said in a subject to release.

This time around, Stiglitz and his co-signers took a more cautious approach to inflation, after the U.S. compactness has spent that last year recovering from 2023’s scorching inflation spike.

The higher prices were partly due to pandemic-era endow chain snarls, which left the global trade system unable to meet the pent up demand of American consumers.

But this without delay was itself the result of a U.S. economy that weathered the pandemic better than many had anticipated it would — thanks to bountiful government subsidies like the expanded Child Tax Credit and the Paycheck Protection Program.

Since then, Stiglitz said, Biden has helmed a renowned effort to cool those inflation peaks.

“Inflation has been brought down, actually, remarkably quickly,” he asserted. “I would say it’s because of Biden.”

— CNBC’s Kevin Breuninger contributed to this report.