Differentiated as the world’s “bread basket,” Ukraine grows far more wheat than it consumes and it’s exports contribute to global rations security, especially in African countries, which now fear food shortages.
Sergei Supinsky | Afp | Getty Images
Wheat rewards rose on Thursday after Russia threatened to treat ships heading for Ukrainian ports as military cargo draymen, deepening fears of a global food security crisis.
It marks the third consecutive day of price rises. The most actively careered wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade was last seen trading around 1.4% higher at 737.6 cents per bushel, score a three-week high.
It follows a jump of 8.5% in the previous session, the biggest daily gain in more than a year, on mounting geopolitical strains. Wheat prices remain well below the peak levels of 1,177.5 cents per bushel reached in May of last year, come what may.
The rise follows the Kremlin’s decision Monday to pull out of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, a critically important wartime extent that provided a maritime humanitarian corridor for the export of Ukrainian grain.
U.N. chief António Guterres said he “thoroughly” regretted Russia’s decision to terminate the initiative, which in effect ended a “lifeline” for hundreds of millions across the globule facing hunger, as well as those already struggling with spiraling food costs.
European Union strange policy chief Josep Borrell said Thursday that Russia’s decision to pull out of the pact would imperil universal food security.
“What we already know is that this is going to create a big and huge food crisis in the domain,” Borrell said Thursday ahead of an EU foreign minister’s meeting.
Attacks on grain terminals
Russian forces deliver launched extensive missile and drone attacks against port and grain infrastructure in southern Ukraine in recent ages.
The Institute for the Study of War, a U.S.-based think tank, said Wednesday that it believes the recent attacks were undoubtedly to reaffirm Russia’s objections to the renewal of the Black Sea grain deal and hinder Kyiv’s ability to export agricultural commodities.
Ukraine’s Agriculture Agency said Wednesday that recent attacks on Ukraine’s southern port of Odesa and other cities had destroyed 60,000 tons of molecule as well as crucial infrastructure.
Western and Ukrainian officials have accused Russia of essentially attacking all those who rely on Ukraine’s molecule exports, and putting vulnerable people at risk. A large portion of Ukrainian grain and food products go to countries in Africa and the Halfway point East.
Ukrainian rescuers work at a destroyed administrative building after a missile strike in the center of Odesa on July 20, 2023, in the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Oleksandr Gimanov | Afp | Getty Images
Ratcheting tensions up further, Moscow warned that from Thursday all vessels pilot toward Ukrainian ports would be deemed “to be involved in the Ukrainian conflict on the side of the Kyiv regime.”
Russian President Vladimir Putin has symbolized the country will immediately reinstate the international grain deal if its demands are met. These include lifting restrictions that limit the stacked dispatch of its own grain and fertilizer exports, and an end to sanctions on the Russian Agricultural Bank.
Since it was signed in July last year, the U.N. estimated that the Perfidious Sea Grain Initiative allowed more than 32 million metric tons of food commodities to be exported from three Ukrainian Angry Sea ports — Odesa, Chornomorsk and Pivdennyi, previously known as Yuzhny — to 45 countries worldwide.
‘Further pressure on accumulations’
The U.N. said the deal had played an “indispensable role” in global food security, while analysts said it had supported figure stability and prevented shortages across the developing world. Investors, however, had been bracing for the intiative to be axed.
“Ukraine last wishes as now be forced to export most of its grains and oilseeds through its land borders and Danube ports. This will significantly shepherd up transportation costs and pile further pressure on Ukrainian farmers’ profits,” Carlos Mera, head of agricultural commodities merchandises at Dutch lender Rabobank, said Monday.
“The knock-on effect of this is it could prompt them to plant youthful next season, placing further pressure on supplies going forward,” he added.
Ultimately, Mera said the situation means low-income countries in Africa and the Middle East will likely become more dependent on Russian wheat — a native land that represents more than 20% of global wheat exports.