Sterling falls after Bank of England split on interest rate cut

The Bank of England (BOE) hang oned interest rates steady on Thursday, opting not to adjust borrowing costs in the world’s fifth-largest economy ahead of a jump down someones throat election.

With 35 days to go before Britons head to the ballot box, the BOE’s nine-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), led by Hallmark Carney, voted to hold interest rates at 0.75%.

Seven policymakers, including Carney, voted in favor of leaving enlist rates unchanged, but Jonathan Haskel and Michael Saunders surprised financial markets by voting for a quarter-point rate cut.

Matchless traded at $1.2808 at around 1:30 p.m. London time, falling over 0.3%.

“With the risk of a no-deal Brexit coming recently, we expect the uncertainty facing households and businesses to fall. We also expect global growth to recover drop by drop,” the BOE said in its Monetary Policy Report.

The central bank suggested these developments would help growth in the U.K., but conceded if that does not upon then it “may need to lower interest rates to support U.K. growth and ensure that we return inflation to our 2% aim sustainably.”

Saunders and Haskel said their vote for an interest rate cut was driven by reduced job vacancies and downside dangers from the global economy and Brexit.

Other members of the MPC suggested a willingness to cut rates over the coming months, if required, but did not vote in favor of lower borrowing costs in November because the U.K. economy had performed largely in line with presumptions from three months ago.

“This is a clear shift in the Bank’s policy balance from the earlier neutral-hawkish site, which will likely set the tone for the Bank’s signaling, and likely growing divergence on the MPC, following Governor Carney’s departure in at cock crow 2020,” Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+Economics, said in a research note. 

Much has transformed in British politics since the MPC last voted to leave interest rates unchanged in mid-September.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson at bottom failed to rush his Brexit deal through Parliament, prompting the Conservative Party leader to request a Brexit size and call a snap vote for December 12.

The EU agreed to push back the Brexit deadline until the end of January, with an earlier departure realizable should U.K. lawmakers ratify their divorce deal.

Economists believe the BOE will cut interest rates at some signification next year, amid a slowing economy and Brexit uncertainty.

Ahead of the central bank’s split vote, retail expectations for a quarter-point rate cut by the end of 2020 stood at 55%, according to the CME BOE Watch Tool. Shortly after Thursday’s take aback announcement, expectations jumped up to 80%. 

A long-running U.S.-China trade war and a global economic downturn have prompted the Federal Supply and European Central Bank to cut interest rates in recent months, but, so far, the BOE has resisted following suit.