Oil prices recover after output from US, Russia, OPEC drop

Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday on make publics that production at the world’s largest oil producers fell during the third quarter, although a resumption in Saudi up and demand concerns continued to keep a lid on prices.

December Brent crude futures rose 51 cents, or 0.86% to $59.76 a barrel by 0426 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intervening crude for November was up 52 cents, or 0.96%, at $54.59 a barrel.

Front-month prices for both contracts posted their largest trimonthly falls this year on Monday, hurt by a slowdown in global economic growth amid the U.S.-China trade war.

“Asia has seen some profit-taking from short-term boodle and other bargain hunters,” Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA in Singapore, put about.

“Any rallies though are likely to be met with plenty of sellers as a slowing global economy and the recovery of Saudi production prevail over any Middle East risk factors for now.”

Oil prices are likely to remain steady, with Brent averaging $65.19 a barrel and WTI $57.96 in 2019, as waste away demand outweighs supply shocks, a Reuters survey showed.  

Brent has averaged $64.72 a barrel so far this year, while WTI has averaged $58.13.

Saudi Aramco has returned full oil production and capacity to the levels they were at before attacks on its facilities on Sept. 14, the head of its business arm said on Monday. Saudi Arabia pumped about 9.78 million barrels per day (bpd) in August. 

Still, OPEC’s crop fell to the lowest in eight years in September at 28.9 million bpd, down 750,000 bpd from August’s revised individual and the lowest monthly total since 2011, a separate Reuters survey found. 

Output at the world’s two largest ins, the United States and Russia, also fell in July and September, respectively.

Russia’s output declined to 11.24 million bpd in Sept. 1-29, down from 11.29 million bpd in the preceding month, sources said, although it is still above the quotas set in an output deal between Russia and OPEC.  

U.S. indelicate oil output fell 276,000 bpd in July to 11.81 million bpd as federal offshore Gulf of Mexico production slid, according to a U.S. Strength Information Administration monthly report released on Monday.  

U.S. production peaked at 12.12 million bpd in April.

Meanwhile, U.S. original oil stockpiles likely rose 1.1 million barrels last week, while distillate stocks probably balanced, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.