Home / NEWS / Energy / Oil prices just had their best quarter in 30 years — what’s next?

Oil prices just had their best quarter in 30 years — what’s next?

A Surgutneftegas employee near pumpjacks in Surgut Region of the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Area – Yugra, in the West Siberian petroleum basin.

Alexei Andronov | TASS via Getty Spitting images

Oil prices registered their best quarterly performance in 30 years during the three months through to the end of June, contriving a dramatic comeback after falling to record lows in April.

Brent crude futures skyrocketed more than 80% in the tick quarter. It was the international benchmark’s best quarterly performance since the third quarter of 1990, when it registered winnings of 142% during the first Gulf War.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures surged 91% in the three months during to end of June, also reflecting the best quarterly performance for U.S. crude since the third quarter of 1990 when it rose 131%.

However, despite notching extraordinary gains in recent weeks, both Brent and WTI futures are still down all over 34% since the start of the year.

The IEA’s Executive Director Fatih Birol has reportedly said he believes 2020 may in good shape come to be regarded as the worst year in the history of global oil markets, with April likely to be the worst month the application has ever seen.

“I think obviously what we saw with the Covid crisis was unprecedented and, in oil markets, it was coupled with the dislocation of the endow agreement between Russia and the OPEC countries at the same time,” Martin Fraenkel, president of S&P Global Platts, told CNBC’s “Object Box Europe” on Tuesday.

Those two “massive” events impacting oil prices was “a once-in-a-generation coincidence, so I don’t really expect that again,” Fraenkel imparted.

Nonetheless, he warned oil price volatility was likely to continue over the coming months, citing “really high” dislocations cranny of the global energy sector.

On April 20, benchmark U.S. crude prices tumbled into negative territory for the before all time on record, falling as low as negative $40 a barrel at the height of coronavirus lockdown measures. It meant producers were effectively give birth to to pay traders to take oil off their hands.

Brent futures did not enter negative territory in late April, but the benchmark did collapse to its lowest level since 1999 in a week some Wall Street veterans have since described as: “Frightful,” “unbelievable,” and “very visceral.”

Half time

“The first half whistle has sounded on 2020 and it already has the makings of a Hollywood blockbuster,” Stephen Brennock, oil analyst at PVM Oil Associates, thought in a research note published Wednesday.

“Looking ahead to the rest of the year, U.S. Presidential elections, a year-end Brexit deadline and the evolving Covid pandemic should stipulate the ingredients for a similarly dramatic sequel,” he added.

Brent crude futures traded at $42.35 on Wednesday morning, up approximately 2.6% for the session, while U.S. WTI futures stood at $40.35, more than 2.7% higher.

Last month, the IEA broke in its closely-watched monthly report that oil demand in the second quarter, which saw the greatest impact from lockdown calculates, was 17.8 million barrels per day lower when compared to the same period last year.

That level of cry out for reduction was slightly less than the group had previously expected, although still unparalleled.

BP logo seen in Krakow. On Monday, May 11, 2020, in Krakow, Poland.

Artur Widak | NurPhoto via Getty Guises

To be sure, the IEA expects the fall in oil demand this year to be the largest in history. More recently, energy giants BP and Frame announced they have both lowered their respective long-term oil price expectations through to 2050.

BP also communicated it anticipated to incur non-cash impairment charges in the second quarter, estimated to be in an aggregate range of $13 billion to $17.5 billion after tax.

Interim, Shell said on Tuesday that it would write down the value of its assets by up to $22 billion in the second lodgings.

The updated forecasts appeared to underline an already bleak longer-term outlook for oil and gas demand and fueled expectations of a slow improvement to the coronavirus pandemic.

Check Also

Crusoe Energy sells bitcoin mining unit to focus on ‘huge opportunity’ in AI

Cully Cavness, Crusoe’s co-founder and chief driving officer, and Chase Lochmiller, co-founder and chief executive …

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *