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Japan’s Abe ‘looks like a lame duck’ as his government comes under fire for its coronavirus response

Shinzo Abe, Japan’s prime charg daffaires, removes his protective face mask during a news conference in Tokyo, Japan, on Thursday, May 14, 2020.

Akio Kon | Bloomberg via Getty Images

Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe “looks like a lame duck” as public criticism of his administration’s response to the coronavirus outbreak mounts, concerting to Tobias Harris, Japan analyst at Teneo Intelligence.

“Despite an effective response compared with many other hinterlands Abe hasn’t been rewarded with higher approval ratings, and has in fact been falling,” Harris told CNBC in an email.

Those exposes came on the back of a recent Nikkei/TV Tokyo poll where 55% of respondents said they do not have a favorable vision of the Japanese government’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak. As of 12:00 local time on May 18, Japan had confirmed 16,305 cases and take ined 749 deaths, according to the country’s Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare.

Harris said part of the reason for the fade in Abe’s approval ratings has been due to the perception that he reacted “too slowly to the pandemic.”

Unlike its peers in the region, Japan initially rebuffed declaring a nationwide state of emergency until the middle of April, when it reportedly had more than 9,000 infections and scarcely 200 deaths in the country.

To exacerbate matters, Harris said public discontent has also increasingly been fueled by the Japanese superintendence’s push to extend the retirement age for prosecutors from 63 to 65.

Critics of the proposed change have raised concerns upward of its potential damage to the fairness of the country’s judicial system as it allows the administration to decide which prosecutors can prolong their shore up in office, according to local news agency Kyodo News.

For his part, Harris said the move by the Japanese oversight has been perceived as “a naked power grab and is widely unpopular.”

Crumbling economy

All that comes as the Japanese saving — already hit from a plunge in consumer spending following a hike in the consumption tax last October — has been dealt a chief blow from the coronavirus outbreak.

The Japanese economy contracted at an annualized rate of 3.4% in January-March, according to observations released Monday by the country’s Cabinet Office. That was less than a median estimate of a 4.6% decline by economists in a Reuters register.

Still, that marked the second straight quarter of contraction, meeting the technical definition of a recession — Japan’s primary since the second half of 2015 — according to Reuters.

And the data is set to look worse, according to multiple economists.

Hold accountable Suisse Japan Chief Economist Hiromichi Shirakawa told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Monday that the positive expects a 10% quarter-on-quarter contraction in the second quarter, while Bank of America Global Research’s Izumi Devalier presumes a plunge of 20% at an annualized rate for that period.

“In terms of the GDP numbers, unfortunately, the worse is yet to come,” Devalier, who is administer of Japan economics at Bank of America Global Research, told CNBC’s “Street Signs” on Monday.

“It’s very superior to be clear about what this first quarter GDP shows,” Devalier said. “Japan really didn’t start tightening the provisions on service sector activity and we really didn’t see that decline in mobility until April, when the government announced a state of emergency.”

“In some ways, it does capture that decline in consumption that began in March but the worse is gonna awaken in April,” she said.

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