The top-down investment game is based on determining the health of the economy, the strength of different sectors, and then picking the strongest stocks within those sectors to augment returns. If the economy is performing well, investors can choose the sectors as well as stocks within those sectors that are on the be equal to. Even if the economy isn’t performing well, there could be sectors and companies that are bucking the trend.
Investors can bring in better-than-market returns by pinpointing the hottest sectors leading the market higher and identifying the best stocks within those sectors.
Key Takeaways
- In an uptrend, pinpoint the hottest sectors best the market higher and identify the best stocks within those sectors.
- Before choosing a sector or stock, investors should diagnose a trend using multiple time frames within charts.
- Identify the sectors that are outperforming the overall buy.
- Identify and buy the best-performing stocks within the outperforming sectors.
Understanding How to Find the Right Stocks and Sectors
If your interpretation shows that the market is in an uptrend–called a bull market–and it’s likely to continue for some time, you want to buy trade ins that are showing the best potential to be big winners. However, just because the market is moving higher doesn’t unaccommodating that all stocks will perform well, and some will greatly outperform others.
If we are in a bear market–or sacrifice declines–the investor could engage in short selling. Short selling is an advanced strategy that speculates on outlay declines in a stock and should only be considered by experienced investors. Short sellers identify and sell the stocks appropriate to perform the worst, and earn a profit as prices fall. However, the focus of this article will be on uptrends, but the having said that principles apply to downtrends.
Multiple Time Frames
Before choosing a sector or stock, investors should specify a trend using multiple time frames within charts. Investors can use charts to help define the trend for a sector or stock. It’s significant to know the time frame or the amount of time that a trend has been existence. Trends can be grouped as primary, medial, and short-term.
However, there are multiple time frames to consider. For example, a weekly or monthly chart might pose an uptrend while a shorter time frame–such as a daily–might show a correction. As a result, watch out for tiffing trends within a sector or stock when analyzing multiple time frames. Be sure to identify the primary craze and whether it appears to be strong or running out of steam. It’s helpful to use a long-term chart to identify the trend and use the intermediate-term and short-term maps to help drill down the exact entry and exit levels.
Pick the Right Sectors
Certain sectors play better than others, so if the market is heading higher, we want to buy stocks within sectors that are performing the superlative. In other words, we want to invest in sectors that are outperforming the overall market. For example, the technology sector sway be up 10% versus a 3% rise in the overall market, as measured by a benchmark such as the S&P 500 index.
By analyzing dissimilar time frames, we can pick the hottest sectors that are not just performing well right now but have been conduct strength over a longer period. The time frames that investors choose will depend on their investment term horizon. Next, we choose the sector that is one of the top-performing sectors. Investors can choose a few of the top sectors to create diversification.
We can also regard the chart of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) for a particular sector. The ETF would contain a basket of securities that track the stocks within a sector. The turn should be defined by a trendline, with the ETF showing strength as it rises off the line. The trendline merely connects all of the higher lows in an uptrend (or the low stations in the corrections). In an uptrend, each correction low should touch the upward sloping trendline. If the trend is continuing, there should be a get-up-and-go off the trendline and in the direction of the trend.
Pick the Right Stocks
Once we’ve identified an uptrend in a sector that’s outperforming the exchange, we need to identify the stocks within the sector to buy. We could simply buy a basket of stocks reflecting the entire sector, which could work reasonably well. However, we can do better by cherry-picking the best stocks within that sector. Just because a sector is poignant higher does not mean that all of the stocks within that sector will be great performers. However, it’s tenable a few of those stocks will outperform, and those are the ones we want in our portfolio.
The process for identifying individual stocks is the anyway as the process for sector analysis. Within each sector, identify the stocks that have the greatest price gratitude using multiple timeframes to be sure that the stock is performing well over time. The stocks that bear performed the best over two or three timeframes are the stocks we want. Examine the charts of the top performers and place trend postal cards on the chart whereby the price trend should be clearly defined. Profit objectives based on chart patterns should be seated to identify potential price gains while also considering the risk of losses.
Special Considerations
It is important to note that there are other agents to consider when buying a stock. Additional criteria to look at include:
Liquidity
Liquidity refers to the number of shares being traded so that a property can be bought or sold with no delay. If there’s liquidity, there are plenty of buyers and sellers. Buying stocks with petty volume makes it hard to sell at a fair price if quick
Exiting and Rotating
Of course, there’s no guarantee you’ll navigate extraordinary returns, but this strategy does offer the chance to earn better-than-market returns. Some monitoring of places is required to make sure the sectors and stocks are still in favor with the market. Also, be aware of
The Bottom Brand
This strategy does require some turnover of trades, as sectors and the leading stocks within those sectors transfer change over time. The object is to be in stocks that are leading the market higher in bull markets, and if you are not opposed to precluding selling, being short in the weakest stocks that are leading the market lower during bear markets. We do this by find the hottest sectors (for a bull market) over a period of time and identify the best-performing stocks within that sector. By continually transferring assets into the best-performing stocks, we continue a good chance to make above-average returns.