Home / CRYPTOCOINS / Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rebounds to $10.5K; Stablecoin Market Cap ‘Goes Parabolic’

Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rebounds to $10.5K; Stablecoin Market Cap ‘Goes Parabolic’

Bitcoin has did well in the face of a bleak news cycle while stablecoin assets in the crypto ecosystem continue to grow.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) buy around $10,515 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Slipping 0.44% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour pass over: $10,362-$10,667
  • BTC above its 10-day moving average but below the 50-day, a sideways signal for market technicians.

btcoct2

Bitcoin swap on Coinbase since September 30.
Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s price stumbled in the early hours of Friday, falling to as low as $10,362 on blemish exchanges such as Coinbase around 5:00 UTC (1 a.m. ET) before rising to $10,515 as of press time. 

Despite the persistent stream of negative news this past week, the crypto markets have remained resilient, according to Zachary Friedman, chief serving officer of brokerage Global Digital Assets. 

“If we look back, we have seen a hack of Kucoin, a major BitMEX lawsuit and set trouble in the traditional markets through the announcement that [U.S. Pres. Donald] Trump contracted COVID-19,” Friedman conveyed. “Historically, these three collective events would have sent markets reeling. This shows that the furnish is increasingly filled with more bullish investors [who] believe in the fundamentals.”

Bitcoin’s dip to $10,362 Friday is its lowest valuation point since Sept. 24, well before the recent torrent of bad news began and perhaps a sign of the great’s oldest cryptocurrency’s capacity to recover quickly.

btctendays

Bitcoin trading on Coinbase the past ten days.
Source: TradingView

Jean-Baptiste Pavageau, a spouse at crypto quant trading firm ExoAlpha, anticipates some increased volatility ahead. “Liquidity is a key metric for excellent traders,” said Pavageau. “While BitMEX witnessed sometimes unusual price behavior on its exchange, it would not be surprising to view more of these spikes and crashes while the liquidity dries-up.” 

Read More: BitMEX Moves $337M in Bitcoin Up ahead of First Withdrawals Since Charges

Indeed, BTC/USD open interest on BitMEX, a measure of liquidity on derivatives exchanges, has rusticated since the revelation of its legal troubles, going from $589 million just prior to the news Thursday to $461 million as of cluster time, a 21% decline.

bitmexoioct

Open interest in USD terms on BitMEX the past 24 hours.
Source: Skew

As unobstructed interest on BitMEX wanes, investors are increasingly moving bitcoin to other exchanges. At one point, an outflow of over 11,000 BTC go to ones rewarded to other exchanges at 01:00 UTC Friday, including 4,786 BTC to Binance, 3,899 BTC to Gemini and 989 BTC to Kraken, according to facts analysis firm CryptoQuant.

bitmexflows

BitMEX BTC outflows (red) and price (black) the past three months.
Source: CryptoQuant

“It’s booming to be a volatile couple of weeks,” added Mostafa Al-Mashita, vice president of trading for Global Digital Assets. “I would not be shocked to see another ‘black swan’ event in the next two months, although bitcoin’s price action has been surprisingly bullish in the light of the news,” 

Volatility in bitcoin is positive news for options buyers, and that market has 34,100 BTC in bets placed for concluding on Oct. 30.

skew_btc_options_oi_by_expiry_k_prev_day-1

Open interest in bitcoin options by expiration.
Source: Skew

The options market for October expiration provides some expectations for bitcoin’s future price, as traders see a 63% chance of bitcoin over $10,000, a 50% chance over $10,500 and a 36% inadvertent of $11,000 per 1 BTC.

skew_probability_of_btc_being_above_x_per_maturity-6-2

Bitcoin price probabilities for October expiration.
Source: Skew

“It’s a tough market at the moment, up one minute and down the next,” denoted Rupert Douglas, head of institutional sales for crypto brokerage Koine. “I still think there are risks to the downside. Peddles don’t like uncertainty and we’ve sure got that until early November.”

Stablecoins over $20 billion

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by merchandise capitalization, was down Friday trading around $344 and slipping 2% in 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET). 

Comprehend More: Ethereum 2.0 ‘Dress Rehearsal’ Gets a Second Shot With Zinken Testnet

The total bazaar capitalization of stablecoins has grown from $2.6 billion at the start of 2019 to $20 billion by late September. Tie up (USDT), at $16 billion, leads the way, with U.S. dollar coin (USDC) in second at $2.5 billion followed by TrueUSD (TUSD) with a $507 million hawk cap.

stablecoinindex

Stablecoin market capitalization since 1/1/19.
Source: Messari

A yield farmer who chooses to go by the handle devops199fan believes stablecoins forearm an important role as an increasing market for stable assets strengthen the decentralized finance, or DeFi, ecosystem. “The stablecoin deal in cap is starting to go parabolic,” said devops199fan. “I think we’re just getting started. In DeFi specifically, we’ve only scratched the exterior of what’s possible in terms of financial primitives and systems.”

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mostly in the red Friday. One champ as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Notable losers as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Read More: Decentralized Exchange Volume Rose 103% in September 

Commodities:

  • Oil was down 4%. Rate per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $36.97.
  • Gold was flat, in the red 0.14% and at $1,902 as of press time.

Treasurys:

  • U.S. Exchequer bond yields were mixed Friday. Yields, which move in the opposite direction as price, were up most on the 30-year, up to 1.479 and in the non-professional 1.3%.
https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk20

The CoinDesk 20: The Assets That Matter Most to the Market

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