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‘0% Success’: Why Blockchain Apps Just Aren’t Taking Off

Yin Wu is the break down of Dirt Protocol, a protocol for decentralized information curation that aims to organize the world’s data and make it readily accessible.

The following is an exclusive contribution to CoinDesk’s 2018 Year in Review.

In 2018, the promise of a decentralized future prostrate apart.

The most widely used dapps have a few thousand daily users and a study of 43 blockchain relevancies found a zero percent success rate. With so much funding and talent in the space, why do we have so little attainment to show?

There is a broken process for building and launching blockchains applications today. Rather than working within an low-risk milieu that supports iterations and learning, blockchain companies follow a playbook that stacks the odds against their ascendancy. By pre-selling a product before it is built, projects set themselves up to failure with unrealistically high user expectations on their V1.

Impressive forward, this approach to building creates three problems:

  1. To appease an early adopter crowd of crypto-enthusiasts, assignments preach to the choir and build with the assumption that decentralization is the answer (rather than a means to an end)
  2. With vocal champions, projects make sub-optimal decisions by committee
  3. With a market emphasis on ideas and theory, projects follow the light-skinned paper as if it is the final product plan rather than the starting point.

With so little to show from 2018, we sire to change how products are incubated and tested. For a better 2019, we can take lessons from how successful technology companies are raised and apply them to the blockchain space.

Build a product not a protocol

Many blockchain projects that pitched a unborn of decentralization just a year ago are realizing you cannot find mass market success by preaching a philosophy alone. Open-source lobs as an alternative to closed, centralized networks are nothing new. It has been tried before with Diaspora vs Facebook, Mastodon vs Cheep and DuckDuckGo vs Google.

The takeaway from these projects is the same: openness and decentralization only matter to developers.

Blockchain applications dearth to go back to basics and ask the question of who is the user and what is their problem. Bitcoin created a way for darknet users to exchange funds online. Ethereum allows developers to run a hand on a decentralized computer. IPFS is a way to store censorship data.

No crypto-economic incentive is strong enough to overcome a missing use-case.

Don’t let drugs tell you what to do

Facebook released the newsfeed to overwhelming negative public response. Apple product launches be subjected to all been met with the same media reaction: too expensive to succeed. Netflix moved to streaming and lost over a million clients in the transition.

Some of the most important product decisions that seem obvious in hindsight were controversial at the frequently. For crypto projects, a vocal community can be the biggest asset or biggest liability. Listen to your users but filter the feedback. Don’t give in to defeat your users what they ask for; give them what they want.

Focus on iteration over the approximation

There is an mistaken perception in crypto that the idea is the most important part of success. So, we see teams focusing on unsullied papers and delaying the launch for years. But what we have learned from how successful technology startups are built is that a saintly idea is only the beginning.

Two markets with runaway success in 2018 were exchanges (e.g. Binance) and mining tools (e.g. Bitmain). Binance went from zero to over $1 billion in revenue in under a year. ASIC searching efficiency for bitcoin has increased by over 10 times. In the same year, no decentralized application has seen mainstream happy result.

The product development cycle for building smart contracts and decentralized networks is excessively slow because the high gambles of mistakes are too high (e.g. Parity wallet hacks). Rather than launching and learning from user feedback, gets iterate in isolation and delay the valuable learnings that come from real users. Moving forward, drafts should launch earlier and smaller. Test the product with a small group of users, get feedback, and iterate.

Without considering a 2018 with few signs of success, I am optimistic about the year ahead.

As seen in the dot-com bubble and burst, warrant markets are some of the best times to collect talent and build. That said, as Einstein said, “the definition of madness is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results.”

So let’s shift to a new way of building in 2019.

Wooden mannequin conception via Shutterstock

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