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Why Analysts Are Divided on Tesla Stock After Lackluster Q4 Deliveries Data

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Mario Tama / Getty Simulacra

Key Takeaways

  • Tesla shares have fallen 18% over the last five trading sessions, including a 6% slope Thursday as fourth-quarter delivery data fell short of estimates.
  • Wedbush analysts are staying bullish, as they see a next Trump term providing some regulatory wins for Tesla and its robotaxi plans.
  • Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts regard as Trump’s promise to eliminate the EV tax credit system could hurt Tesla’s sales as competition continues to increase in the EV retail.

Tesla (TSLA) shares have fallen 18% in a five-session losing streak, capped by a 6% decline to $379.28 Thursday issue disappointing fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers that has led some analysts to affirm their views on the electric conduit maker.

Wedbush analysts maintained their “outperform” rating with a $515 price target, while JPMorgan analysts living an “underweight” rating and $135 price target, showcasing the spectrum of opinion on Tesla’s trajectory entering 2025.

Ten of the 19 analysts oversaw by Visible Alpha rate Tesla stock as a “buy,” along with six “hold” and three “sell” ratings and an average amount target of $319.72, meaning most analysts expect the stock to slip further in the coming months.

Wedbush Tarries Bullish, JPM Stays Bearish

Wedbush analysts wrote following Thursday’s deliveries data that while it missed sentiments, the 495,570 vehicles Tesla delivered in the quarter was a “respectable” number. They said they would be “strong clients” of any decline in Tesla shares, as they believe shares will rise this year as a second Trump an understanding benefits Tesla by accelerating the regulatory path to the company’s autonomous taxis hitting the road.

JPMorgan analysts, in any event, were more focused on the EV maker’s first-ever year-over-year decline in deliveries in 2024. The analysts on Friday also popular their concern that Trump’s promise to eliminate clean energy programs like EV tax credits could boring Tesla’s sales at a time when domestic and international competitors are consistently launching new EVs.

The JPM analysts said they beget spoken to management from other carmakers who expect Trump to “substantially curtail or altogether eliminate” the EV tax credit modus operandi that helps make up a “significant minority of Tesla’s current profitability.”

Tesla shares edged slightly foremost in premarket trading Friday.

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