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Oil prices down 20 percent in a month as fundamentals weaken

Oil supermarkets on Friday remained weak as rising supply and concerns of an economic slowdown pressured assesses, with U.S. crude now down by 20 percent since early October.

U.S. West Texas In-between (WTI) crude oil futures were at $61.63 per barrel at 0125 GMT, down 4 cents from their ultimately settlement.

Front-month Brent crude oil futures were at $70.79 a barrel, 14 cents essentially their last close

However, both Brent and WTI have waned by around 20 percent from four-year highs in early October.

“Oil values continue to decline and are now officially in a bear market, having declined 20 percent from their (October) culmination,” said William O’Loughlin, investment analyst at Australia’s Rivkin Securities.

Reuters industrial commodity analyst Wang Tao said on Friday that “Brent oil may glide further into a range of $68.59-$69.69 per barrel.”

That devise be the first time Brent has fallen below $70 since April.

Analysts swayed the main downward price pressure came from rising distribute, despite the U.S. sanctions against Iran that were imposed this week, as reasonably as concerns over an economic slowdown.

“As OPEC exports continue to arise, inventories continue to build which is putting downward pressure on oil valuations,” analysts at Bernstein Energy said.

“A slowdown in the global economy persists the key downside risk to oil,” Bernstein added.

The decline in prices over the years weeks follows a rally between August and October when blunt was pushed up ahead of the re-introduction of sanctions against Iran’s oil exports on November 5.

These approvals, however, will unlikely cut as much oil out of the market as initially expected as Washington has allocated exemptions to Iran’s biggest buyers which will allow them to persist buying limited amounts of crude for at least another six months.

“Approvals on Iran are so far proving to be less severe than first thought … because the U.S. has now announced waivers to a raft of countries,” O’Loughlin said.

Bernstein Energy needs “Iranian exports will average 1.4-1.5 million barrels per day (bpd)” during the dispensation period,” down from a peak of almost 3 million bpd in mid-2018.

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